Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.217717 0.253227 0.292772 0.340091 0.395204 0.457408 0.533000
2025-02-23 0.158799 0.204897 0.261829 0.337400 0.435243 0.557884 0.723681
2025-03-02 0.124888 0.172928 0.236589 0.327298 0.453572 0.623671 0.871155
2025-03-09 0.108077 0.158533 0.229359 0.336315 0.494345 0.720215 1.069386
2025-03-16 0.093442 0.144043 0.218687 0.337210 0.521588 0.799002 1.251042
2025-03-23 0.083340 0.134299 0.212881 0.343397 0.556033 0.891066 1.463497
2025-03-30 0.072542 0.121682 0.200564 0.337027 0.568875 0.949810 1.629374
2025-04-06 0.064291 0.111917 0.191259 0.333803 0.585586 1.015694 1.814411
2025-04-13 0.058009 0.104546 0.184814 0.334217 0.607929 1.092901 2.028174
2025-04-20 0.054870 0.102213 0.186620 0.349126 0.657410 1.223072 2.354162
2025-04-27 0.051674 0.099313 0.186951 0.361167 0.702776 1.350729 2.691706
2025-05-04 0.048565 0.096152 0.186341 0.371176 0.745213 1.477485 3.043595
2025-05-11 0.044846 0.091458 0.182464 0.374742 0.776296 1.587742 3.381290
2025-05-18 0.040840 0.085710 0.175874 0.372078 0.794554 1.674945 3.684212
2025-05-25 0.036493 0.078699 0.165856 0.360911 0.793306 1.721133 3.904284
2025-06-01 0.034578 0.076599 0.165747 0.370872 0.838868 1.872638 4.379857
2025-06-08 0.032088 0.072926 0.161822 0.371860 0.864434 1.983102 4.776055
2025-06-15 0.030304 0.070609 0.160573 0.378694 0.904136 2.130206 5.279313
2025-06-22 0.027685 0.066052 0.153748 0.371658 0.910163 2.199527 5.601874
2025-06-29 0.025569 0.062426 0.148649 0.368096 0.924096 2.289329 5.988403
2025-07-06 0.023908 0.059702 0.145362 0.368554 0.948042 2.406569 6.462392
2025-07-13 0.023321 0.059567 0.148304 0.385021 1.014889 2.640068 7.278822
2025-07-20 0.022573 0.058934 0.149939 0.398322 1.075179 2.864278 8.102358